Hi. Have you ever wondered what it takes to do well
in trading or what necessary steps you need to do? I keep receiving these
questions quite often. So, let me give you my five proven steps. I have been
doing well with them in my own trading, so I believe they can help you too.
Step #1: Questions
You may or may not like it, but successful trading is about the ability to come
up with new, fresh ideas. Fortunately, it is not as difficult as it sounds. All
you need to do is to keep asking this question: "What happens if...?"
What happens if I buy when the RSI indicator is overbought instead of oversold?
What happens if I start moving my stop-loss according to my moving average? By
asking the "What happens if...?" question constantly, you start to
move forward fast and I can guarantee you some of your ideas will be sooner or
later big winners.
Step #2: Robustness testing
Most strategies are flawed. That is the fact. But how do you know which ones
are not? You can always find it out through extensive robustness testing. What
does it mean? In my case it mainly means three things: A) A good strategy can
easily adjust to changing market conditions. An extensive walk-forward testing
is needed at this stage. B) A good strategy performs reasonably well in other
markets. C) A good strategy has been developed only on a part of all your
historical data and performs well on the rest. To be very honest with you,
about 95% of all my strategies never pass my robustness testing criteria, but
when they do, it's time to move to the next step.
Step #3: Portfolio
One strategy will help you learn, but a portfolio of strategies will help you
grow. You don't need to have a big portfolio at the beginning, but even three
strategies are much better than just a single one. Remember, if you want a
smooth equity and a steady income from your trading as soon as possible, the
only way is through diversification and portfolio. Very few people are aware of
this and even fewer spend significant time by modelling different portfolios. I
personally spend a lot of time trying to find out the best way to combine my
strategies together to make a good portfolio.
Step #4: Position sizing
Let me ask you a question: Do you want to make it big or do you want to stay
small? Because if you want to make it big, then you need to start seriously
thinking about position sizing. This topic can be complex, but it can be also
extremely rewarding. So, where do you start? I highly suggest reading Van
Tharp's book "The Definitive Guide to Position Sizing." You will
learn a lot. Personally, it has moved my trading to a whole new level.
Step #5: Persistence
Listen, it can be done. It does not matter what education you have, how old you
are, or even how confident you feel at this moment. I have seen many people
succeed. I have seen traders making it from zero to quite a nice living, and
that is why I believe that you can do it too. Yes, it does take some time,
effort, and learning, but once you are finally there, it is all worth it. So,
stay persistent and mainly never give up, and that is all.
By Tomas Nesnidal

No comments:
Post a Comment